WAS @ DAL (-11) – something’s not right in Dallas. They’ve got 3 running backs and none of them are given the opportunity to get in any sort of a rhythm. That drags the running game down and that puts Romo in bad situations. Washington normally plays them tough and Ladell Betts is such an upgrade over Clinton Portis that it’s not even funny. I think they can keep this close. Take the points. (TC: Seems like the “smart” money is on WASH and mine will likely be too)
CLE @ DET (-3.5) – Cleveland will be playing on short rest after getting shell-shocked on Monday night. Brady Quinn isn’t going to last too long throwing passes parallel to the line of scrimmage. He’ll have opportunities against the Lions, but can he take advantage? My guess is no. I don’t like the idea of laying points when two bad teams are involved, but I just can’t see the Brownies mustering any sort of offense. Lay the points.
SF @ GB (-6.5) – there’s a good chance the Packers used up all their adrenaline against Dallas and I still have doubts about their defense. Yes, it’s Alex Smith on the road, but it’s also Frank Gore on the road and I think that balances things out. 6.5 is a lot of points, so I’ll take them.
PIT (-10) @ KC – I know I’ve gotten burned on this, but taking the points against the Steelers normally serves me well. Maybe Jamaal Charles will get things going for KC and give Matt Cassel some opportunities. Take the points.
SEA @ MIN (-10.5) – Hasselbeck’s been playing well, but their O-line is still a mess and he’s one hit away from being stretchered out. Their D is an even bigger mess and won’t be able to contain Adrian Peterson once Brett gives them a lead. Lay the points.
ATL @ NYG (-6.5) – once again, my G-men have a lot to prove. I’m going against them until that happens. Take the points.
NO (-11.5) @ TB – this will be interesting. Heading into last week’s game, I knew Sedrick Ellis was out for the Saints, but had no idea about Darren Sharper until it was too late. Regardless of what happens on D, though, I can’t go against such a quick-strike offense. Lay the points. (TC: I’ve liked the Saints every week this year, but their winning margin is lessening. I’m going with TB here)
BUF @ JAC (-9) – it doesn’t matter who’s coaching the Bills; they’ll still lose. However, the Jags aren’t the kind of team to take advantage and win big. The more I hear about Buffalo’s porous run defense, the more I think Del Rio will do something stupid like give MJD 9 carries (which he’ll gain 120 yds on) and STILL lose the game. Take the points. (TC: The Bills are a mess, how are they giving points. Jags, Jags, Jags!)
IND (-1) @ BAL – 1 point? Really? Last I checked, if your name isn’t Brady Quinn, you can throw on the Ravens and the Colts have a guy named something else. Lay the points.
ARI (-9) @ STL – maybe I’m biased, but because I really REALLY need SJax to do poorly this week, I’m hoping for a total Cardinal domination. Lay the points.
SD @ DEN (NL) – I don’t think Orton’s going to play for the Broncos. Ergo, back the ‘bolts and ‘insert verb for what you do when there’s no line’ the points.
CIN (-9.5) @ OAK – I think the Bengals are another team temporarily low on adrenaline. They’re also low on talented RBs, which Ced-Ben on the shelf. I’d like to see Scott do well in his absence, but there are no guarantees. Maybe Carson Palmer comes out throwing, maybe not. Too many variables, so I’ll take the points.
NYJ @ NE (-10.5) – the Patriots will have revenge on their mind and Wes Welker back in the lineup this time around against the Jets. The book is out on Mark Sanchez, who hasn’t been that good since earlier in the season. Lay all 10.5 points. (TC: The Jets killed me this year. Love the Pats here and that makes me sad.)
PHI (-3) @ CHI – if Jay Cutler hasn’t lost his team by now, it’ll happen at some point on Sunday night. In the battle of Reid vs. Smith, I’ll take Reid and lay the points.
TEN @ HOU (-4.5) – Matt Schaub is playing Linus to the security blanket that was Owen Daniels. He has to prove that he’s found another, whether that be Kevin Walter, Steve Slaton or someone else, before I lay points on them. Take the points.
Last week: 9-6
Overall: 62-68-1
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I’m already 0-1, as I took Carolina at -3 last night. I did have a hunch of a possible Ewing Effect with the Dolphins, but I thought the short week and the fact the the cats were at home would propel them to at least a 4 point victory. oh well.
Cincinatti’s my survivor pick. This should be interesting, what with all the RB craziness now that CedBen is hurt. Hope it works out.